Quantifying the impact of rent deregulation on property prices


ČEPELOVÁ Kristýna REICHEL Vlastimil

Year of publication 2021
Type Article in Proceedings
Conference Proceedings of the International Scientific Conference ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL POLICY
MU Faculty or unit

Faculty of Economics and Administration

Web https://www.narodacek.cz/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/Proceedings-of-the-International-Scientific-Conference_2021-_FV_compressed-1.pdf
Keywords Real Estate Market; Rental Housing Market; Rent Deregulation; ARIMAX Model
Description The aim of the paper is to quantify the impact of rent deregulation on property prices. Using univariate time series models with an intervening variable – the ARIMAX model – the impact of rent price deregulation on property prices is estimated for fourteen regions of the Czech Republic. The analysis is performed on quarterly data covering the period 1999-2017. The variables capturing the intervention in the form of rent deregulation are of two types: the first covers the period between 2007-2008 and the second covers the period between 2006-2012. The results show that deregulation may have played a significant role in driving up house prices within regions where the number of deregulated apartments was highest. Although the results are similar in terms of absolute house price increases for both types of intervention variables, it cannot be concluded that the impacts found are statistically significant for all regions when using both types of interventions. Moreover, in absolute terms, the impact of rent deregulation is only a marginal increase in house prices at the time the deregulations are introduced.
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