Conflict and Trade: The Case of the Basque Country

Authors

COUFALOVÁ Lucie

Year of publication 2019
Type Article in Proceedings
Conference Proceedings of the International Scientific Conference ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL POLICY: Economic and Social Challenges for European Economy
MU Faculty or unit

Faculty of Economics and Administration

Citation
Web http://www.narodacek.cz/wp-content/uploads/2019/11/Proceedings-of-the-International-Scientific-Conference_2019-127-138.pdf
Keywords Basque country; Foreign Trade; Conflict; Gravity model
Description The aim of this contribution is to determine whether the conflict of the Basque Country with the Spanish State in some way influences the region’s foreign exports. Empirical analysis, based on the gravity model approach for the period 2000-2017, indicates that both intrastate conflict in the Basque Country and the foreign trade of the region are related. The regression results show that Basque foreign exports are positively associated with past values of conflict, and more specifically that conflict is associated with higher export flows to the European Union. Hence, foreign trade appears to act as insurance against conflict escalation, as predicted by Martin et al. (2008).
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