On the Predictability of Institutional Environment

Název česky K prediktabilitě instititucionálního prostředí
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MIKULA Štěpán

Rok publikování 2011
Druh Článek ve sborníku
Konference Mathematical Methods in Economics 2011
Fakulta / Pracoviště MU

Ekonomicko-správní fakulta

Citace
Obor Ekonomie
Klíčová slova Institutional environment predictability time-series ARI process economic performance
Popis The aim of this paper is to develop method for evaluating the predictability of the institutional environment. It is based on standard time-series analysis and suggests two measures of predictability. This method is applied on development of property rights protection level which is approximatively described by index based on expert evaluation from International Country Risk Guide (ICRG). Obtained measures of predictability are tested using econometric model with cross-sectional data and recognized as a significant predictor of economic performance.
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